NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2019 Dec 02 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 02-Dec 04 2019 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 02-Dec 04 2019
Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 00-03UT 2 2 3 03-06UT 1 2 3 06-09UT 1 2 2 09-12UT 1 2 2 12-15UT 1 2 1 15-18UT 1 2 1 18-21UT 2 3 2 21-00UT 2 3 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-14 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 02-Dec 04 2019
Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 02-Dec 04 2019
Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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