Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Feb 14 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low and the visible disk remained spotless. Analysis of SOHO/LASCO coronagraph imagery did not identify any CME associated with the DSF centered near S43E03 that took place between 13/0000 to 13/14000 UTC.
.Forecast… Very low solar activity is expected to continue 14-16 Feb.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background values.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to to continue at normal to moderate levels 14-16 Feb and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters were indicative of a slow solar wind regime and likely proximity to the heliospheric current sheet. Total IMF strength was less than 5 nT and the Bz component underwent only weak deviations. Solar wind speed averaged mainly from 325-350 km/s. The phi angle varied between sectors.
.Forecast… A slow solar wind regime is expected to continue 14-16 Feb.
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was quiet.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to remain primarily quiet 14-16 Feb.
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