NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Aug 01 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 01-Aug 03 2020 is 4 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 01-Aug 03 2020
Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 00-03UT 0 3 3 03-06UT 1 4 2 06-09UT 0 3 2 09-12UT 1 2 2 12-15UT 1 2 2 15-18UT 1 2 2 18-21UT 2 3 2 21-00UT 3 3 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 02 Aug with the onset of a CH HSS.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 01-Aug 03 2020
Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 01-Aug 03 2020
Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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