NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Nov 22 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 22-Nov 24 2020 is 4 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 22-Nov 24 2020
Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24 00-03UT 3 3 3 03-06UT 4 4 2 06-09UT 4 3 2 09-12UT 3 3 2 12-15UT 3 2 2 15-18UT 2 1 1 18-21UT 2 1 2 21-00UT 3 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2020
Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2020
Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24 R1-R2 10% 10% 10% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: A slight chance for R1 (Minor) radio blackouts exists for 22-24 Nov.
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