NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2018 Jul 14 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 14-Jul 16 2018 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 14-Jul 16 2018
Jul 14 Jul 15 Jul 16 00-03UT 2 2 3 03-06UT 1 1 2 06-09UT 1 1 2 09-12UT 1 2 2 12-15UT 1 2 1 15-18UT 1 2 1 18-21UT 2 3 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-15 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 14-Jul 16 2018
Jul 14 Jul 15 Jul 16 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 14-Jul 16 2018
Jul 14 Jul 15 Jul 16 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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