60m Propagation Project

The objective of our 60M Experiment is to evaluate the band as a viable HF communications link between remote communities and larger centres throughout the Northern Canada Auroral Zone.
To accomplish this, we are gathering a team of interested individuals in various locations to beacon, and monitor beacons from other stations throughout the region.
Beacons heard will are spotted to PSK Reporter. The PSK Reporter data is automatically updated our central data base.
Solar weather data will also update our central database every 15 minutes.
Beacons heard, and solar conditions will be displayed graphically on a common time base to allow the data to be analysed. This feature is currently under development.

The graphs will show us beacons heard by any station and the existing solar conditions at any given time.
From this information we are hoping to learn what solar conditions need to exist to support a reasonable communications path, and what conditions will not.

Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2018 Jul 18 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA199 UGEOA 20401 80718 0330/ 9930/ 10181 20181 30181 99999 UGEOE 20401 80718 0330/ 17/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 80718 0330/ 17/// 10000 20710 3008/ 4///0 50000 62508 71804 80000 90000 99999 UGEOR 20401 80718 0330/ 17/24 18100 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2018 Jul 18 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 199 Issued at 0245Z on 18 Jul 2018 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 17 Jul A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field reached active levels over the past 24 hours. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 071 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 009/010 X-ray Background A2.5 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 4.4e+05 GT 10 MeV 1.8e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-15 satellite synchronous orbit W136 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 2.00e+05 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-15 satellite synchronous orbit W136 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 2 5 4 2 2 3 1 1 Planetary 2 4 4 1 1 2 1 2 F. Comments: None
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2018 Jul 18 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low under a spotless solar disk. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to be very low with no numbered active regions present.
Energetic Particles
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters indicated a slightly elevated solar wind velocities, increasing from 350 to 450 km/s over the past 24 hours.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are expected to remain elevated, but benign, with average solar wind velocities at or under 500 km/s for the next 3 days. Density enhancement and magnetic variations are expected as a CIR prior to the onset of a CH HSS late on day three.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for days one and two. Active conditions are possible on day three with the anticipated CIR ahead of a CH HSS expected late on the day.
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2018 Jul 18 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 18-Jul 20 2018 is 4 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 18-Jul 20 2018
Jul 18 Jul 19 Jul 20 00-03UT 2 2 3 03-06UT 2 1 3 06-09UT 1 1 2 09-12UT 1 1 4 12-15UT 1 1 3 15-18UT 1 1 3 18-21UT 1 2 3 21-00UT 2 2 3
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-15 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 18-Jul 20 2018
Jul 18 Jul 19 Jul 20 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 18-Jul 20 2018
Jul 18 Jul 19 Jul 20 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Solar Region Summary (SRS)

:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2018 Jul 18 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 199 Issued at 0030Z on 18 Jul 2018 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 17 Jul I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type None IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z Jul Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 18 Jul to 20 Jul Nmbr Lat Lo None
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Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 198 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Jul 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (18 Jul, 19 Jul, 20 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 455 km/s at 17/1815Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 16/2120Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 17/0339Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (18 Jul, 19 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (20 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 18 Jul-20 Jul Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 17 Jul 071 Predicted 18 Jul-20 Jul 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 17 Jul 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 16 Jul 008/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Jul 005/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Jul-20 Jul 006/005-006/005-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Jul-20 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/30 Minor Storm 01/01/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 20/20/30 Major-severe storm 15/15/40
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2018 Jul 17 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 17-Jul 19 2018 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 17-Jul 19 2018
Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19 00-03UT 1 2 2 03-06UT 3 2 1 06-09UT 3 1 1 09-12UT 2 1 1 12-15UT 1 1 1 15-18UT 1 1 1 18-21UT 1 1 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-15 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 17-Jul 19 2018
Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 17-Jul 19 2018
Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2018 Jul 17 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low under a spotless solar disk. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to be very low with no numbered active regions present.
Energetic Particles
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters were nominal.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are expected to be nominal.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
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Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2018 Jul 17 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA198 UGEOA 20401 80717 0330/ 9930/ 10171 20171 30171 99999 UGEOE 20401 80717 0330/ 16/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 80717 0330/ 16/// 10000 20720 3009/ 4///0 50000 62908 71904 80000 90000 99999 UGEOR 20401 80717 0330/ 16/24 17100 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2018 Jul 17 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 198 Issued at 0245Z on 17 Jul 2018 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 16 Jul A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 072 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 008/008 X-ray Background A2.8 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 5.2e+05 GT 10 MeV 1.9e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-15 satellite synchronous orbit W136 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 1.00e+06 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-15 satellite synchronous orbit W136 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 1 2 3 2 1 3 3 2 Planetary 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 F. Comments: None
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