60m Propagation Project

The objective of our 60M Experiment is to evaluate the band as a viable HF communications link between remote communities and larger centres throughout the Northern Canada Auroral Zone.
To accomplish this, we are gathering a team of interested individuals in various locations to beacon, and monitor beacons from other stations throughout the region.
Beacons heard will are spotted to PSK Reporter. The PSK Reporter data is automatically updated our central data base.
Solar weather data will also update our central database every 15 minutes.
Beacons heard, and solar conditions will be displayed graphically on a common time base to allow the data to be analysed. This feature is currently under development.

The graphs will show us beacons heard by any station and the existing solar conditions at any given time.
From this information we are hoping to learn what solar conditions need to exist to support a reasonable communications path, and what conditions will not.

Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Aug 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day one (06 Aug) and expected to be very low on days two and three (07 Aug, 08 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 618 km/s at 04/2202Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2815 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (06 Aug, 07 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (08 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 05 Aug 073 Predicted 06 Aug-08 Aug 073/073/073 90 Day Mean 05 Aug 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 04 Aug 009/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Aug 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug 005/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/15 Minor Storm 01/01/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor Storm 20/20/25 Major-severe storm 10/10/20
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Aug 05 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity continued at very low levels. Region 2770 (N23E53, Cso/beta) remained relatively inactive, producing only a few B-level enhancements in the X-ray flux. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 05-07 Aug.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux intermittently reached high levels, with a peak flux of 1420 pfu at 05/1145 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 05-06 Aug before returning to moderate levels by 07 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters reflected the continued, yet waning effects of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speeds began the period near 660 km/s before eventually decreasing to near 500 km/s by period’s end. Total field strength averaged near 3 nT, and the Bz component averaged near +/-3 nT. Phi was predominantly in a positive orientation while undertaking several brief oscillations into a negative solar sector.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters, measured at the DSCOVR spacecraft, should continue their waning trend on 05 Aug as positive polarity CH HSS effects subside. A gradual return to an ambient-like, background environment is anticipated for 06-07 Aug.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels as CH HSS influence diminished.
.Forecast… Mostly quiet conditions are anticipated for the remainder of 05 Aug as CH HSS influence gradually subsides. Quiet conditions should then persist through 06-07 Aug.
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Aug 05 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 05-Aug 07 2020 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 05-Aug 07 2020
Aug 05 Aug 06 Aug 07 00-03UT 2 2 2 03-06UT 2 1 1 06-09UT 1 2 1 09-12UT 1 2 1 12-15UT 3 1 1 15-18UT 2 1 1 18-21UT 2 1 2 21-00UT 2 1 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 05-Aug 07 2020
Aug 05 Aug 06 Aug 07 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 05-Aug 07 2020
Aug 05 Aug 06 Aug 07 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2020 Aug 05 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA218 UGEOA 20401 00805 0330/ 9930/ 10051 20053 30052 99999 UGEOE 20401 00805 0330/ 04/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 00805 0330/ 04/// 10012 20730 3008/ 4///0 50000 63508 74604 80003 90050 99999 UGEOR 20401 00805 0330/ 04/24 05101 12770 20000 30000 43212 50050 60002 16023 01000 99999

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2020 Aug 05 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 218 Issued at 0245Z on 05 Aug 2020 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 04 Aug A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 073 SSN 012 Afr/Ap 009/010 X-ray Background A3.4 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 7.9e+04 GT 10 MeV 4.6e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 2.70e+07 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 2 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 Planetary 2 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 F. Comments: None
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Aug 05 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2770 (N23E60, Cso/beta) remained inactive only producing B-levels enhancements in the X-ray flux. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 05-07 Aug.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels with a peak flux of 947 pfu at 04/1740 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 05-06 Aug and return to moderate levels by 07 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters reflected the continued influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speeds remained elevated, yet on the decline, ending the period near 600 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-5 nT, and the Bz component was +/- 4 nT. Phi was predominantly in a positive orientation while undertaking brief excursions into a negative solar sector.
.Forecast… Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to continue on 05 Aug as positive polarity CH HSS effects persist. A gradual return to an ambient-like, background environment is anticipated for 06-07 Aug.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to CH HSS effects.
.Forecast… Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a slight chance for an isolated active period, is anticipated for 05 Aug as CH HSS influence persists. Quiet conditions are expected for 06-07 Aug.
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Aug 05 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 05-Aug 07 2020 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 05-Aug 07 2020
Aug 05 Aug 06 Aug 07 00-03UT 3 2 2 03-06UT 2 1 1 06-09UT 2 2 1 09-12UT 2 2 1 12-15UT 1 1 1 15-18UT 1 1 1 18-21UT 2 1 2 21-00UT 2 1 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 05-Aug 07 2020
Aug 05 Aug 06 Aug 07 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 05-Aug 07 2020
Aug 05 Aug 06 Aug 07 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Solar Region Summary (SRS)

:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2020 Aug 05 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 218 Issued at 0030Z on 05 Aug 2020 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 04 Aug I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 04/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2770 N23E60 026 0050 Cso 10 02 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 04/2400Z Aug Nmbr Location Lo 2768 N26W28 114 2769 N27E27 059 II. Regions Due to Return 05 Aug to 07 Aug Nmbr Lat Lo None
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Aug 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (05 Aug, 06 Aug, 07 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 779 km/s at 04/0134Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 04/0410Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 04/0406Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 946 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (05 Aug) and quiet levels on days two and three (06 Aug, 07 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 04 Aug 073 Predicted 05 Aug-07 Aug 073/073/073 90 Day Mean 04 Aug 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 03 Aug 015/017 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Aug 009/011 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 007/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/10/10 Minor Storm 05/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/20/20 Minor Storm 25/20/20 Major-severe storm 25/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.

Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Aug 04 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2770 (N21E69, Cso/beta) continued to rotate further onto the visible disk, but still had a degree of uncertainty with the magnetic classification due to foreshortening. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 04-06 Aug.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast… There is a chance for the greater than 2 MeV electron flux to reach high levels on 04-06 Aug due to CH HSS effects. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters reflected the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speed averaged near 650 km/s and reached a peak over 750 km/s. Total field strength averaged near 5 nT, while the Bz component saw a maximum southward deflection to -4 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a mostly positive (away) solar sector, with isolated oscillations into the negative sector towards the end of the period.
.Forecast… Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to continue on 04-05 Aug as positive polarity CH HSS effects persist. A gradual return to an ambient-like, background environment is anticipated for 06 Aug.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to CH HSS effects.
.Forecast… Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a chance for isolated active periods, are anticipated for 04-05 Aug as CH HSS influence persists. Quiet conditions are expected to prevail 06 Aug.
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.